🥇 Gold B2 · PAPER
OPEN · Oct 30, 2026
Gold (XAU/USD) — B2 trade #3
Side: SELL · 50 oz @ $3,926.80
THE PAPER RECORDS · SNAPSHOT: OCTOBER 31, 2026
The record, losses included.
Two paper sims are running now, ahead of any real money: the gold prop sim (B2 against a Hola-style challenge) and Gold Reality, its lagged twin, which measures what entering late costs. Everything below is a snapshot dated October 31, 2026 — the sims keep running, and their full record is what the Jan 2, 2027 decision point judges.
🥇 Gold B2 — the prop sim
Paper, at the $200,000 scale. The sim began Oct 19, 2026 at a $100,000 base and was re-based to $200,000 on Oct 31, 2026 — same percentages, no restart. The first three trades belong to the retired v1 discretionary strategy and stay in the record. P/L below is shown at the $200,000 scale.
| # | Strategy | Trade | Opened | Closed | Side | Size | Entry | Exit | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | v1 (retired) | Call #1 | Oct 19, 2026 | Oct 22, 2026 | BUY | 20 oz | $4,150.00 | Closed at stop — $4,058.00 | −$1,847.00 |
| 2 | v1 (retired) | Call #2 | Oct 22, 2026 | Oct 22, 2026 | SELL | 44 oz | $4,040.00 | Closed at target — $4,000.00 | +$1,744.60 |
| 3 | v1 (retired) | Call #3 | Oct 23, 2026 | Oct 27, 2026 | SELL | 44 oz | $3,985.00 | Closed at stop — $4,030.00 | −$1,995.40 |
| 4 | B2 | B2 trade #1 | Oct 29, 2026 | Oct 30, 2026 | SELL | 46 oz | $4,036.10 | Closed at target — $3,972.56 | +$2,906.74 |
| 5 | B2 | B2 trade #2 | Oct 30, 2026 | Oct 30, 2026 | SELL | 56 oz | $3,963.30 | Closed at target — $3,910.95 | +$2,912.00 |
⏱ Gold Reality — the lagged twin
Nothing to show yet — and it won't be faked. Gold Reality mirrors every Gold B2 entry late — filled at the first 1-minute bar at or after the parent entry + 15 seconds (in practice ~60 seconds; that is the finest data available, and every fill is marked "lag-approx") — with the same stop distance, the same 3× target, and its own 0.5% sizing. It starts with B2 trade #4; earlier trades are not backfilled, and the still-open trade #3 is deliberately not mirrored. The empty record is the honest record: the first true measurement of what being late costs lands with trade #4.
The 2-year backtest BACKTEST — SIMULATED ON HISTORICAL DATA
Backtest — this is NOT the live record. The figures below come from running the same B2 rules over historical hourly gold prices — a simulation of the past, modelled as a funded $200,000 account. No account, paper or real, traded these.
| Measure | Backtest result |
|---|---|
| Window | Nov 15, 2024 → Oct 28, 2026 |
| Data | Yahoo GC=F hourly candles (11,090) |
| Modelled account | Funded $200,000 account · B2 rules · 0.5% risk per trade · $0.35/oz costs included |
| Result | +$63,858.35 (+31.93%) |
| Final balance | $263,858.35 |
| Trades | 476 · 136W – 340L |
| Win rate | 28.6% |
| Profit factor | 1.16 |
| Max drawdown (peak to trough) | -9.80% (max drawdown, peak to trough: $213,171.87 (May 6, 2025) → $192,276.45 (Aug 26, 2025) = −$20,895.41) |
| Lowest closed balance vs start | -7.94% (lowest CLOSED balance $184,119.11 on Jan 7, 2025, measured from the $200,000 start — $119.11 above Hola's $184,000 floor on a closed-trade basis) |
| Lowest live equity | lowest LIVE equity $183,422.96 on Jan 9, 2025 (04:00 UTC) — $577.04 BELOW the $184,000 floor. Firms judge the floor on live equity (balance + the open trade at its worst mark); on that basis this run breaches the floor during a trade that later recovered and won |
| Challenge mode | Passed both phases in ~327 days (Phase 1 at 312 days) and never failed; monthly restarts: 15 passed, 0 failed, 9 still open (challenge-mode runs, same window, corrected) |
| Average full month | +$3,211.74 gross |
Standing caveats: the news blackout (live rule) was not applied in this backtest. Prices are gold futures (GC); broker spot XAU/USD levels differ by roughly $10–40.
Honest limit: free sources would not give hourly gold data older than November 2024, so this backtest covers 2 years, not 5. The earlier years — including the choppy 2022–2023 stretch — remain untested on hourly data, and two friendlier years are not proof the strategy survives every kind of market.